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Sport Betting |
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Home / Sport Betting / Introduction |
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Introduction to Sports betting |
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One of the oldest and most simple forms of
wagering is Sports-betting. Wagering on sporting tournaments
goes back almost indefinitely into history.-
In Broad terms, there are 3 main approaches to winning at this
form of gambling-
1. Handicapping
This depends on creating a statistical model of a team’s or an
individual's chances in a tournament. As an example, in a game
of American football you might give weightage to various factors
while assessing a team's chances. You might give 1 point if the
team is in good form, 3 if they are playing at home, 2 if they
are playing without a star player and so on. You measure their
score against the opponents and determine the chances of either
of them winning.
Also note that this is exactly what bookies do. However, the
formula that bookies use is quite unsophisticated and may not
reflect the true odds (see below).
There’s a possibility to design a better model to that of the
bookies. If you can design a model having a statistically
considerable degree of success over the bookmaker’s model, then
you will be able to recognize situations where the bookmaker's
assessment of the odds is wrong and place winning wagers
consistently.
2. Market Inefficiencies
Sometimes the bookmakers will have crazily
conflicting opinions about a game. You can take advantage of
this by betting with that bookmaker who is out-of-line with the
consensus and offers over-generous odds. An example of this
which is a bit extreme is a method known as arbitrage: this is
when bookmaker’s lines overlap, so an smart bettor could bet
with both and profit whatever happens.
NOTE: In practice, however, this is very
difficult to do as such opportunity is quickly exploited. If the
odds change before you have "closed" both sides of the wager you
make yourself open to a considerable liability.
3. Psychology
Sometimes the bettors do not bet according to a rational
assessment of their team's chances. As the most obvious example
of this, in international soccer matches the home team is always
heavily backed for nationalistic reasons. The resulting odds are
almost always poor, while the foreign team usually has quite
good odds. The bookmakers must do this in order to balance their
books and get a sure profit.
Do you want to read more about Sport Betting:
• History
• Glossary |
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